Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.222453 0.251149 0.281565 0.316147 0.354313 0.395087 0.441880
2025-08-03 0.187026 0.226227 0.270200 0.322970 0.384355 0.453277 0.536276
2025-08-10 0.162670 0.208863 0.263256 0.331574 0.414584 0.511650 0.633165
2025-08-17 0.139155 0.188778 0.249862 0.329797 0.430760 0.553098 0.711489
2025-08-24 0.121247 0.173017 0.239377 0.329482 0.447279 0.594550 0.790879
2025-08-31 0.106482 0.159317 0.229635 0.328410 0.461641 0.632957 0.867362
2025-09-07 0.096938 0.151407 0.226400 0.334975 0.485522 0.683921 0.961580
2025-09-14 0.086856 0.141486 0.219216 0.335076 0.500003 0.722461 1.040454
2025-09-21 0.078311 0.132799 0.212788 0.335323 0.514081 0.760430 1.119492
2025-09-28 0.070959 0.125076 0.206932 0.335619 0.527725 0.797828 1.198678
2025-10-05 0.065710 0.120065 0.204583 0.340651 0.548074 0.845038 1.292948
2025-10-12 0.061917 0.116992 0.204851 0.349423 0.574066 0.901012 1.401408
2025-10-19 0.056876 0.111486 0.201063 0.351982 0.591348 0.945877 1.496973
2025-10-26 0.053298 0.108130 0.200439 0.359394 0.616300 1.002941 1.612483
2025-11-02 0.050412 0.105696 0.201092 0.368783 0.644640 1.066037 1.739120
2025-11-09 0.045861 0.099709 0.195182 0.366814 0.654605 1.101342 1.824966
2025-11-16 0.042042 0.094684 0.190489 0.366458 0.666932 1.140487 1.917734
2025-11-23 0.038487 0.089777 0.185571 0.365276 0.677631 1.177225 2.007741
2025-11-30 0.036421 0.087634 0.185485 0.372465 0.702508 1.237154 2.135742
2025-12-07 0.033617 0.083653 0.181627 0.372574 0.715192 1.277740 2.234233
2025-12-14 0.031089 0.079974 0.178028 0.372843 0.728007 1.318792 2.334539
2025-12-21 0.028792 0.076541 0.174613 0.373167 0.740788 1.360045 2.436235
2025-12-28 0.027234 0.074601 0.173999 0.378677 0.762921 1.417489 2.565943